Market corrections, it’s a beautiful thing.
It needs it and it requires it to get the ‘undeserving’ and the ‘unworthy‘ out of the market before the next leg stretch!
While the entire internet was freaking out and in total panic-mode talking about “death cross,” I was keenly observing my oscillator as it reached the “OVERSOLD ZONE” in late April (not to mention the ‘bullish divergence’ signal on the daily-chart).
QQQ WEEKLY BARS
First of all, you must fully understand the macro and the primary trend of this market to corrently identify if it’s going to be a mere correction or a downright recessionary bear market.
Though, the public thinks we’ve been in a recession in the last 10 years, the stock market has climbed very much in the last 10 years. Which means, every lows were great buying opportunities during the corrections such as 2016, 2019, 2020, 2022/2023 and here in 2025.
Once you understand the primary trend then we can try to figure out the potential low.
As you can see above, QQQ goes through a “FULL RESET” on that weekly-oscillator every year or so:
- First one occured back in 2022 October (this signal marked the proverbial low after the steep correction in 2022)
- And then exactly one year later, we saw another “FULL RESET” during October of 2023 (which shaped the way for 2024 run)
- Here in April of 2025, we’ve witness the “FULL RESET” once again and with the cross-up to go with it
I reckon we have high probability that the low has been already put in for the year.
But, keep in mind, this signal does NOT mean that the market will not have fluctuations/shenanigans along the way as the market is look to retag the ATH level and beyond.
PONZI!!!
Wonderful work Kay as always!
Thanks Dave